Using Stats to Improve Confidence - Roundtable

1h 16m | May 5, 2024

This week’s roundtable kicks off with Baba Yaga teasing an upcoming live stream with Vico from TPA this upcoming Friday! From there, the panel dives into an in-depth discussion about process reviews and using statistical analysis to refine trading strategies. Along the way, they address the fear that comes with learning a strategy might not be as successful as once thought and the importance of collaboration during data analysis. The hosts talk through their experiences of refining trading strategies through rigorous data analysis, emphasizing the importance of statistical expectancy and confidence in trading setups. They explore key topics like finding the right entry methods, filtering out losing trades, and how market context plays a critical role in trade decisions. In the realm of exit strategies, the conversation underscores the danger of taking profits too soon and the importance of understanding the setup’s EV.

Group trading dynamics come under the microscope as the Fleri and Baba Yaga discuss the challenges of trading in a community, dealing with different trading styles and timeframes, and avoiding undue influence from others' trades. Despite these challenges, they also highlight the benefits of sharing trading setups and ideas within a supportive community. Kyle then shares a particularly potent Good/Bad/Ugly from the past week and the episode closes with some new bold market predictions.

Tune in for a lively and insightful discussion that blends practical advice with personal anecdotes. This episode is a must-listen for anyone looking to refine their trading strategies and learn from experienced traders.

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Baba Yaga:

Solving problems, helping set goals, and refining processes is the bulk of Baba's passion. He does that in many contexts ranging from nonprofits to real estate firms and everything in between. He focuses on market structure through the lens of TPO charting and executes based on volume, misplaced large orders, and delta. He loves the opening range breakout and typically trades the market from the “inside out”. 

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Enter the world of trading with Fleri, a seasoned trader whose journey began in the early days of crypto exchanges and mid-cap stocks. Evolving over time, Fleri redirected his focus to futures and intraday trading, specifically honing his expertise in ES, NQ, RTY, CL, and UB. His approach is deeply rooted in Market Auction Theory, navigating the market by tracking participants through a nuanced blend of pattern recognition and the confluence of Price Action and Order Flow.

At the heart of Fleri's trading philosophy is a meticulous plan of execution, identifying areas for the auction to potentially seek value. Leveraging Order Flow and Price Action, he capitalizes on opportunities that present themselves throughout the trading day. Fleri is not just a trader; he's a dedicated educator, sharing his insights through podcasts, Twitter, and Discord to support fellow traders on their journeys.

What sets Fleri apart is not only his technical prowess but also his lighthearted approach and transparency about both past and current struggles. In the complex world of trading, Fleri brings not only expertise but also a relatable and open demeanor, creating a supportive environment for traders to learn and thrive.

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