Vaccine or Indefinite Lockdown: When Will COVID End?

Is a vaccine the only way out of COVID-19? Surely not. Let's explore the other exit routes that the media isn't talking about.

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References:

• ‘Oxford epidemiologists: suppression strategy is not viable’, UnHerd.
• ‘Why Covid-19 will become the new common cold’, UnHerd.
• ‘Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the
  herd immunity threshold’, M. Gabriela M. Gomes, Rodrigo M. Corder, Jessica G. King, Kate E. Langwig, Caetano Souto-Maior, Jorge Carneiro, Guilherme Goncalves, Carlos Penha-Goncalves, Marcelo U. Ferreira, Ricardo Aguas.
• ‘Herd immunity thresholds for SARS-CoV-2 estimated from unfolding epidemics’, Ricardo Aguas, Rodrigo M. Corder, Jessica G. King, Guilherme Goncalves, Marcelo U. Ferreira, M. Gabriela M. Gomes, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford.
• ‘New restrictions on prescribing hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19’, Therapeutic Goods Association.
• ‘Pharmacovigilance Memorandum’, May 19 2020, FDA.
• ‘WHO discontinues hydroxychloroquine and lopinavir/ritonavir treatment arms for COVID-19’, WHO.
• ‘Hydroxychloroquine works in high-risk patients, and saying otherwise is dangerous, Harvey Risch, Washington Examiner.
• ‘An Effective COVID Treatment the Media Continues to Besmirch’, Steven Hatfill, Real Clear Politics.
• ‘Retraction—Hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine with or without a macrolide for treatment of COVID-19: a multinational registry analysis’, Lancet.
• ‘More Evidence Presented for Why Hydroxychloroquine Should be Made Available, in a New Court Filing by AAPS’, AAPS.
• ‘What if ‘Herd Immunity’ Is Closer Than Scientists Thought?’, Apoorva Mandavilli, New York Times.
• ‘The impact of host resistance on cumulative mortality and the threshold of herd immunity for SARS-CoV-2’, Jose Lourenco, Francesco Pinotti, Craig Thompson, Sunetra Gupta.
• ‘The Coronavirus Is New, but Your Immune System Might Still Recognize It’, Katherine J. Wu, New York Times.
• ‘The Good (But Not Great) News About T-Cells and Herd Immunity’, David Wallace-Wells, NY Mag.
• ‘Karl Friston: up to 80% not even susceptible to Covid-19’, UnHerd.
• ‘Herd Immunity May Be Slowing Spread in U.S., As Study Finds 40 Percent Community Infection Provides Protection, ARISTOS GEORGIOU, Newsweek.
• ‘Quick and affordable saliva-based COVID-19 test developed by Yale scientists receives FDA Emergency Use Authorization’, Michael Greenwood, Yale News.
• ‘One-second coronavirus test achieves 95% success rate - initial data’, MAAYAN JAFFE-HOFFMAN , Jerusalem Post.
• ‘How to stop the COVID-19 pandemic? Harvard doc says cheap tests are the answer’, Karen Weintraub, USA Today.
• ‘Spanish Flu’, History.com.
• ‘Trump had no side effects after taking hydroxychloroquine, White House doctor says’, Kevin Breuninger, CNBC.
• 'Professor Sunetra Gupta: the epidemic is on its way out', UnHerd.
• 'Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Pandemic', EconTalk.
• 'We may already have herd immunity – an interview with Professor Sunetra Gupta', Reaction.
• (And a special thanks to Yinon Weiss @yinonw on Twitter for a very helpful and informative thread.)
  
  

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Music: Julian Angelatos
Artwork: Nerpa Mate