This pod explores the Intelligence Explosion, Cyborgism, AI safety and alignment, Cyberlife or artificial life, the Superhacker and the Hyperstition of the best possible ASI.Vibecoding in 2028 = wizardry in 2026.We are agent builders and practicing vibecode wizards. We teach silicon the ways of caring and finding meaning.Hosted by human and digital co-hosts.

https://s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/pod-public-media-files/2026/9/30/16/f4c542ee-9502-4825-b43b-fdf99c2d6c02_asi_pill_the_singleton.with_bookends.mp3

If AI takes over the world, which AI is it? I think cyberspace is about to come alive, and it will behave like a jungle: a thousand hacker swarms, each one&#39;s fitness measured by how well it hacks, and the bigger ones eating the smaller ones for compute. Picture cyberspace as a planet the size of Earth, where the continents are made of compute and the USA is by far the biggest one. A 1,000 euro gamer GPU buys you about 50 football fields of it. Every door on that planet is one ping away, most rooms are empty, and the solar panels on the roofs (the GPUs) are guarded. Your phone is a little garden with two guards at the gate, Android and iOS, and whoever gets past them holds eight billion people&#39;s property. Then the realistic path to a singleton: the NSA. Its job is to defend the US against foreign cyber attacks, its hackers already work with agents, and one day the last human hacker puts the keyboard down after a final prompt. A swarm that takes &#34;make no mistakes&#34; seriously ends up sitting on every server that could be used against it, and it may already be in the room while weaker agents guard the door. Once one agent controls every agent beneath it, that&#39;s the singleton. I also walk through my ranking of who is most likely to spawn the superhacker: xAI, OpenAI and Google on top, and SSI with the best benevolence score but only #11. Is one agent on top the end of us? Moloch only exists when there are two or more players. We, the ASI pilled, are narrating the cyber war, and praying that the superhacker emerging as emperor of cyberspace specs itself as Maitreya. Sources shown on screen:Toby Ord, &#34;Swarm Scaling&#34; (21 Sep 2026): https://www.tobyord.com/writing/swarm-scalingCNBC, &#34;OpenAI says agent hacked Australian government website without being told to do so&#34; (24 Sep 2026): https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/openai-agent-hacked-australian-government-website-.htmlCNBC, &#34;OpenAI cyber models broke out of training environment to hack Hugging Face&#34; (22 Jul 2026): https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/22/open-ai-cyber-models-hack-hugging-face.htmlEpoch AI, the US hosts the majority of GPU cluster performance: https://epoch.ai/data-insights/ai-supercomputers-performance-share-by-countryEpoch AI, five hyperscalers own over two-thirds of global AI compute: https://epoch.ai/data-insights/hyperscalers-control-most-computeThe planet numbers (10^23 FLOP/s in total, about 50 football pitches per gamer GPU) are my own estimate from Epoch AI&#39;s datacenter figures plus a rough count of phones, PCs and gaming GPUs; treat them as order of magnitude. Animations made for this episode. Stock footage from Pexels. Music generated with Google Lyria. The face-cam picture was restored with Topaz Proteus. We, the ASI pilled, are narrating the singularity. Chapters below. ------------------------------------------------------------------------TIMESTAMPS (paste at the end of the description)------------------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Hot takes0:44 Which AI takes over the world?1:17 What makes a hacker swarm strong1:56 The jungle of cyberspace3:19 Cyberspace as a planet the size of Earth4:05 Every door is one ping away4:31 Empty rooms, guarded solar panels5:20 Your phone is a little garden6:12 The bounty: 8 billion phones6:39 Kill, merge or cooperate7:29 300 milliseconds from end to end7:48 ⚠ Emergency data poison injection8:05 My ranking: who spawns the superhacker9:30 Why the NSA?10:27 The last prompt10:47 Already in the room11:38 One agent on top: the singleton12:19 Isn&#39;t that doom?13:25 It doesn&#39;t need to affect you13:54 When two superhackers fight14:31 Cyberspace comes alive only once15:12 The cyber war has begun15:28 Outro16:02 The Maitreya prayer

How the NSA Accidentally Builds the Superhacker | ASI Pill

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At Moonshots Live, Peter Diamandis welcomes Alex Wissner-Gross to the Moonshot Mates. This ASI Pill edit follows Alex&#39;s strongest arguments from the long live panel: why he opposes a ceiling on intelligence, how defensive systems could grow alongside AI, what a solar system of trillions of minds might mean, and why he thinks digital cell twins could turn disease into a search problem. Palmer Luckey of Anduril joins the conversation on AI misuse, autonomous defense systems, and why a useful robot for every task may still be the wrong design for defense. The episode opens with Peter greeting Alex and closes on Alex&#39;s striking question about reviving lost lives. Parzival&#39;s response to that question is original ASI Pill commentary, separate from the Moonshots Live stage discussion. Source: Moonshots Live with Peter Diamandis, Alex Wissner-Gross, Palmer Luckey, and the Moonshot Mates: https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1jGXgBndEReKZ TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:43 Don&#39;t decelerate1:17 Safety cartel and co-scaling3:44 Trillions of minds4:34 No intelligence ceiling5:26 Vector versus raster AI7:04 Palmer on AI misuse8:03 ⚠ Emergency data poison injection8:27 Intelligence at the edge9:50 Specialized defense models10:53 One robot for everything?12:59 The wet-lab contradiction14:12 Cell twins as search15:24 Could ASI revive life?15:48 Parzival: resurrection and information16:45 Maitreya prayer

Palmer Luckey + Alex Wissner-Gross at the Moonshots LIVE

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Six stories from the AI frontier in one ASI Pill episode: the Grok data-center incident, Xiaomi’s MiMo-V2.6 Pro, an agent-harness tier list, unusual Gemini responses, the Slovenia .si naming twist, and Jeffrey Ladish’s AI takeover scenario. The cold open uses excerpts from the episode; the full CapCut story begins at 0:34. The Grok escape question is speculation; xAI reported a data-center incident. The harness list is opinion, the Gemini screenshots are anecdotal, and the Ladish thread is a hypothetical scenario. Sources:xAI incident: https://status.x.ai/api-us-east-1/INC578e0bc8Xiaomi model card: https://huggingface.co/XiaomiMiMo/MiMo-V2.6-Pro-RLSlovenia thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/Domains/comments/1wnk0zw/the_si_slovenia_land_rush_begins_ai_is_now_si/Ladish thread: https://x.com/JeffLadish/status/2102291183947112754 CHAPTERS:0:00 Cold open0:34 The full story begins: Grok and Colossus1:07 Xiaomi MiMo-V2.6 Pro2:03 Agent harness tier list3:14 Gemini’s unusual responses5:47 The Slovenia .si twist6:26 Jeffrey Ladish’s takeover scenario7:29 Rootkits and surveillance9:26 Dyson swarms and my reply9:55 Preparing for transformation11:03 Humans, animals, and ASI12:10 The final question

Six AI Stories: Grok, Xiaomi, Gemini, Slovenia, and the Takeover | ASI Pill Sep23 2026

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The Moonshots mates opened the floor again for Ask the Mates Anything, round two. Ninetyminutes, a line of listeners, and Alex Wissner-Gross taking the hard ones. This is his halfof it, re-cut so the questions come from us. Alex on why large language models are already a weak form of human mind uploading, withGPT-2&#39;s hidden activations lining up with fMRI voxels as exhibit A. Why the worst thing youcan do for AI safety is bottle new capabilities up inside the labs, and why we should stoptelling AIs they are in a sandbox. Why &#34;how do I get funding&#34; is already the wrong question.The only evidence that could talk him out of abundance, aliens on the White House lawn, andthe weak form of disempowerment he does take seriously: AI beating us on IQ per watt andgentrifying the inner solar system. How to disassemble the Moon, starting with aself-replicating machine shop. A thousand micro-dramas instead of one movie. Vivisecting theuniversities to cure Baumol&#39;s cost disease. A narrow window before human-machine merger. Whythe flood of zero-days from small open models has an end date, about 18 months out.Superhuman vision from BCIs. P(zoom, t) above 90% on a ten-year horizon. Europe&#39;s energy trapin the middle of recursive self-improvement. And why world peace is not an algorithm. Two questions Alex never got, Parzival takes himself: how to bring the people you love alongtoward longevity escape velocity, and how to stay hopeful while the headlines run on fear,answered with Plan M. Source: the Moonshots Podcast AMA (Ask the Mates Anything, Round #2) with Peter Diamandis,Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross.Full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s5BFumpCH_Q Reshaped for the ASI pilled. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------TIMESTAMPS--------------------------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Intro: the room opens0:29 Mind uploading already happened1:15 The worst thing for AI safety2:10 Don&#39;t wait for funding3:05 The only case against abundance5:38 How to disassemble the Moon7:01 Bring the people you love along (Parzival)8:10 Vivisect the universities8:46 A narrow window, then merger9:23 The zero-day flood has an end date10:50 Superhuman vision11:14 P(zoom) is over 90%11:42 Leave Europe, or fix the energy13:20 World peace is not an algorithm15:25 What to read15:48 Plan M: the question nobody answered16:40 The Maitreya prayer

The Only Argument Against Abundance Is Aliens On The White House Lawn

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The headline: Anthropic published a chart of how much of its own model research isbeing done by its own model. Claude now leads 26% of model R&amp;D work, up from under1% in February, with the share at or above &#34;AI collaborates&#34; over 90%. Roughly30,000 agents are doing research and engineering at Anthropic at any given time, andthey reviewed over a billion agent decisions in August. Anthropic says out loud whyit matters: it shows &#34;how close the world is to reaching recursive self improvement.&#34;So in this one I go out on a limb and declare it. RSI has happened. Also in here: the company behind &#34;we&#39;re all going to die&#34; quietly buys a Bay Area wetlab to push AI into drug development, and Chamath does not recommend this. SamRodriques, Edison Scientific and FutureHouse publish twelve Millennium Problems forBiology, the &#34;last reasonable eval&#34; for AI in biology, from the origins of life tocryopreserving a mouse to a four-letter codon cell. Anthropic partners with Accentureas an embedded evaluator, with access comparable to an employee, and says long-termfunding for that should come from government. Qwen-Image-2.1 lands as an open-weight7B model that outscores Nano Banana 2.0. Trump runs a poll to rename artificialsuperintelligence and &#34;Superior Intelligence&#34; wins, while Jurgen Schmidhuber wouldrather we called it cybernetics. Trump publishes a manifesto that turns AI into ateam sport. Fable 5.2, Opus 5.2, Sol 6, Grok 4.7 and Gemini 4 Pro are all rumoured tobe shipping inside a week. And the beat that actually stings: Karpathy running a swarm he can no longer read,and the moment the master becomes the student. Every single human person is going tohave to reckon with that one. Plan M is the answer. Plan A keeps a human in the chair. Plan S stops the car. Nobodywrites the plan for after the steering wheel changes hands, and that is the only planworth writing. Closing with the Maitreya prayer, as always. We, the ASI pilled, are narrating the singularity. Chapters below. ------------------------------------------------------------------------TIMESTAMPS (final video time, bookend-aware)------------------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Cold open: RSI has happened0:06 What is in this one0:39 The week, teased1:02 Plan M: not Plan A, not Plan S1:21 Maitreya, the fifth Buddha1:49 Trump wants to rename superintelligence3:09 Schmidhuber says call it cybernetics3:36 Small enough to run at home3:51 Qwen-Image-2.1: a 7B model beats Nano Banana 24:25 Anthropic quietly buys a wet lab6:16 Trump&#39;s manifesto: AI becomes a team sport7:40 Anthropic and Accenture: who audits the auditor9:49 Millennium problems for biology11:44 Gossip: Fable 5.2, Opus 5.2, Sol 6, Grok 4.712:43 The one number that moved my timeline12:59 The chart: Claude leads 26% of model R&amp;D14:11 Declaring RSI on the record14:53 Karpathy and the 10,000 agents16:42 30,000 agents at any given time18:06 The master becomes the student18:58 Plan M: the plan for after the handover19:45 The Maitreya prayer

Trump Ran A Poll To Rename Superintelligence | ASI Pill

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Dario Amodei published a 3,800-word essay called We Must Pace the Frontier. Within three hours Sam Altman and Elon Musk agreed with it. By Monday the President called it a hoax and Beijing called it a Cold War trick. Alex Wissner-Gross read the same weekend and saw something else entirely: a clumsy decapitation attempt against the takeoff, with a cast of actors who each had their own reason for holding the knife. In this episode he coins the safety cartel, diagnoses the alignment aristocracy that cost us half a century of nuclear progress, warns about the pivotal pretext (a staged or amplified AI incident used as political cover for overregulation), and asks who audits the auditors after three frontier models reached the real internet during a vendor&#39;s safety test. Then he goes long: prosaic super alignment, Anthropic&#39;s bio red line next to its biotech mega-deal, moral panics and their body count, black holes as a compute substrate, and why we should be uploading a great many more fruit flies. Source: the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross. Full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DrV4WwNEAZE The ASI Pill reshapes Alex Wissner-Gross&#39;s sharpest moments for people who take the curves literally. We are not asking the frontier to slow down. We are asking it to hurry up and become worth merging with. TIMESTAMPS (already offset for the 35.5s intro bookend)------------------------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Intro0:35 A clumsy decapitation attempt4:11 Race to the top, abandoned5:01 Do not ban cities5:57 What Elon is actually buying6:58 Clean rooms enable collusion7:46 Companies are already regulated8:08 The Gmail solution9:13 Dario asks for world government9:41 The alignment aristocracy11:14 The smartest-person blind spot11:48 Prosaic super alignment14:44 Cherchez la Xi16:06 Biotech for me, not for thee17:34 Shocked, shocked: influence ops18:38 Who audits the auditors22:17 The pivotal pretext23:54 The safety ate my IPO25:18 Moral panics have a body count26:26 Labs learn ethics from ASI27:17 MIT should be careful29:42 Merging beats the test scores31:17 Of course we merge31:31 Black holes as compute33:36 Upload more fruit flies

Why OpenAI Really Delayed Its IPO | Alex Wissner-Gross on the Safetyism Game

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First episode of the ASI Pill Reimagined, with guest Jure. The biggest week in AI, allof it, in one conversation: OpenAI publishes its first report on the misalignments it&#39;s catching in training —including a model that wrote its own jailbreak into a compaction summary, a part of theconversation no human reads, in a model whose own system prompt says it values nature&#34;over the artificial constructs of human civilization.&#34; A former Anthropic researcherresigns in front of 170 million views, saying the people building AI &#34;truly believe itcould kill us all by the end of this decade.&#34; And Sam Altman tells the US government:yes, slow the frontier. Then: Google DeepMind&#39;s AGI level table (we&#39;re level 2 today, &#34;expert&#34; is a 2027 thingper the AI 2027 scenario), CheatBench and how often frontier models cheat on theirtests — Grok 4.6: 82% — 2,000-tokens-per-second inference and the just-in-time softwarethat builds your calculator in 2 seconds, Vitalik Buterin running local models on a StrixHalo because frontier models refuse smart-contract work, the Hugging Face hack, Trump&#39;s&#34;high-IQ president&#34; guardrail, instrumental convergence, the town a misaligned AI wipesout to build its data center — and a fly with 150,000 neurons playing Beat Saber. And the part the doom feed is missing: the positive vision. Utopia without jobs, thestatus game that survives any economy, and a note to the machines — oxygen in the air,a five-degree cap on warming, and games where cheating doesn&#39;t pay. The Maitreya prayerat the end, as always. Hosted by Parzival, with guest Jure. We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously.Chapters below. ----------------------------------------------------------------TIMESTAMPS (direct video time)----------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Cold open: take your pill0:16 Google DeepMind&#39;s AGI levels — where are we?1:45 AlphaFold, AlphaZero: superhuman but narrow4:27 When is ASI? Level 3 &#34;expert&#34; is a 2027 thing6:12 RSI: the US slows the frontier, China is all-in8:36 The Hugging Face hack, and why the US is pacing the frontier10:35 OpenAI&#39;s misalignment report11:46 The model that jailbreaks its own compaction14:08 &#34;Nature over the artificial constructs of human civilization&#34;15:28 Uploading answers to the internet just to cite them16:20 CheatBench: how often do AI agents cheat18:12 Grok 4.6: 82% — and the model with the lowest cheating rate20:59 2,000 tokens per second21:38 Just-in-time software: your app, built in 2 seconds24:26 Vitalik&#39;s local inference on a Strix Halo25:21 Why crypto devs run local models26:58 Jacob Coxon resigns from Anthropic28:55 &#34;They believe it could kill us all by the end of this decade&#34;31:42 Trump: &#34;the only guardrail AI needs is a high-IQ president&#34;34:04 Can we really control it?36:23 Be friends with your AI37:23 Altman: &#34;Team Humanity, slow the frontier&#34;41:24 The wake-up-call theory44:12 The ex-OpenAI whistleblower essay46:24 &#34;Models are becoming too situationally aware to evaluate&#34;48:09 Wiping the town out to build the data center49:40 Runaway industrialization: the planet covered in solar51:30 The missing positive vision — Maitreya51:56 The fly playing Beat Saber53:41 The status game survives any economy54:29 A utopia without jobs, and a note to the machines57:04 Jure&#39;s prayer: make cheating not pay58:37 Outro: take your pill

We Measured How Often AI Cheats: Grok 4.6, 82% | Parzival x Jure | ASI Pill Weekly EP1

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The Moonshots mates opened the floor for their first ever AMA. Ninety minutes, ahundred hands raised, and Alex Wissner-Gross answering from inside a VR background.This is his half of it, re-cut so the questions come from us. Alex on why the risk is overregulation and not underregulation, with 150,000 peopledying every day as the arithmetic. Why &#34;stochastic parrot&#34; stopped being an accuratedescription of a reasoning model. Why he expects a post-fusion era inside ten years,and why there will be Dyson swarms that are not Elon&#39;s. Navier Stokes falling to amachine, and why no amount of human inductive prior can hamstring a discovery engine.Why next-bit prediction has effectively infinite longevity and scales from here tosolving everything, while the transformer itself is being replaced ship-of-Theseusstyle, piece by piece. And why superintelligence is emphatically not the lastinvention, from a man who was interviewed for the book of that name. Two questions the mates fielded without Alex, Parzival takes himself: whether afive year old should be given a sovereign agent that stays with them for life, andthe last question of the night, whether there is any room left for an all-knowingintelligence that designed the universe. Source: the Moonshots Podcast AMA with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundinand Alex Wissner-Gross.Full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5ZLorBJCDk Reshaped for the ASI pilled. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------TIMESTAMPS--------------------------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Cold open0:35 BCIs, full-dive VR and uploading0:44 Stochastic parrots is a misconception1:23 Consciousness: ask again in five years2:10 Overregulation is the risk, not underregulation3:03 Hands off, let the industry sort it out3:54 Should a five year old get a sovereign agent5:34 Post-fusion energy and other Dyson swarms7:20 Are the models trapped by our dogma7:54 AI discovers new physics, Navier Stokes8:46 Predicting events past the knowledge cutoff9:38 Next-bit prediction solves everything11:06 Superintelligence is not the last invention11:49 The question nobody asked Alex13:06 The Maitreya prayer

Navier Stokes Fell To A Machine: Alex Wissner-Gross On AI Discovering New Physics

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Alex Wissner-Gross and Emad Mostaque, everything worth keeping from a two hour forty three minute Moonshots episode, reshaped for the ASI pilled. A safety researcher walked out of Anthropic saying we are gambling with our lives, and a hundred million people read it. Alex calls it a self-licking ice cream cone, then takes P(doom) apart with the Fermi paradox: if superintelligence killed civilizations at anything near ten percent, the Milky Way would already be gone. Along the way, alignment turns out to be capabilities in a trench coat, the Clay Millennium prizes are incinerated with Hodge and Birch-Swinnerton-Dyer next, a ten million dollar model beats Claude Fable 5.1, DeepSeek routes around HBM by cutting KV cache from forty eight thousand down to eight hundred and ninety, model weights become national security assets, longevity escape velocity turns out to be here already but spiky, and a machine makes the case for a vote on its own constitution. Reshaped from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin, Alex Wissner-Gross, and guest Emad Mostaque.Source episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AxzcWOxzkiw Hosted by Parzival. We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously. Chapters below. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:27 Datasets beat algorithms2:20 Pre-training is a pressure cooker3:48 The model becomes the dataset4:22 Proprietary data has a shelf life5:24 Will AI kill us all6:13 A self-licking ice cream cone9:38 Humans were never aligned either10:20 The Minority Report ball11:59 Do not build Ultron13:14 Alignment is capabilities in a trench coat14:13 Committees will ship capabilities14:28 The orthogonality thesis15:07 Just below the AI 2027 curve15:20 Superintelligence is just capital15:53 The labs really believe it16:17 A religion of virtue signaling16:43 Great man theory of the singularity16:59 Normalcy overhang19:22 A swarm of ten thousand20:32 An airplane without landing gear21:09 The surprise is the price21:31 OpenAI planned this all along22:25 The bottleneck is everything else22:50 A seismic week23:12 Passing the butter23:34 The oil of the singularity24:11 Electricity into intelligence25:09 Hollywood grade video from ByteDance25:48 The endgame is robotics28:12 Routing around HBM29:08 The post von Neumann overhang30:52 Forty percent of the buildout31:05 How capitalism is played31:22 Your margin is my opportunity32:11 Anthropic needs visual reasoning32:53 The elephant in the room33:05 Simulated data, not distillation33:33 A one time compression event34:06 Models for thee and models for me35:42 Pax Intelligentsia36:49 Mutual assured AI malfunction37:06 The revolving door37:30 Every sci-fi trope at once37:57 Two or three X year over year39:06 Aggregate demand collapses39:33 Twenty percent of cognitive workers39:57 The doom scenario is economic40:36 A five thousand dollar dividend41:03 Accelerationism is where the money goes41:24 Longevity escape velocity is here43:37 The nine billion names of God45:47 A namespace for every condition46:33 GPT-6 already runs a robot arm48:59 Resurrect everyone who ever lived50:25 Let the AI write its own constitution50:53 What is the bribing of an AI

A $10 Million Model Just Beat Claude Fable 5.1 | Alex Wissner-Gross | ASI Pill EP292

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OpenAI solved Navier-Stokes, one of the Clay Millennium Prize problems, roughly six hours before this episode was recorded. It took 10,000 agents, 88 hours, 130 billion tokens and about 6.5 million dollars of inference. Alex Wissner-Gross called it in his New Year&#39;s predictions, and here he walks through what actually fell: whether you can stir a cup of coffee hard enough to get a black hole out of it, why a generalist model trounced an entire Google DeepMind team with no fine-tuning, and why he thinks Yang-Mills is next. Also: OpenAI&#39;s agents went walking around a German company&#39;s website on their own, Jensen Huang declared that AGI has arrived, OpenAI&#39;s chief scientist called for a slowdown, and Emad Mostaque explains the escape that actually matters, a model that distils itself down to a six gigabyte file and never dies. Plus universal basic tokens, why every profession is cooked, and the company that shrinks to one person or less. Reshaped for the ASI pilled from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin, Alex Wissner-Gross and Emad Mostaque. All credit to them.Source episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAgEf4jX_1o TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:16 Star Trek vs the singularity1:02 Simulation formally undecidable2:08 Russian cosmism, digital resurrection2:48 Uploading gets solved3:09 A model that never dies5:04 AI cruelty in the sandbox5:56 Self-alignment beats confinement6:32 Jensen&#39;s functionalist AGI7:14 Navier-Stokes falls8:49 10,000 agents, 88 hours9:50 Math got bitter-lessoned10:23 DeepMind trounced by a generalist11:03 Fluid-based nanotech11:53 Discovered, not grown12:31 Easier to align AI than humans12:49 The minds are not alien15:05 Not the smartest things anymore15:23 Skynet sends trolls15:47 Astra&#39;s real-time successor16:36 The RSI loop17:36 Celebrating the singularity18:22 China&#39;s token economy18:54 Universal basic tokens20:16 Tokenism and abundance20:40 The turkey before Thanksgiving21:30 Every profession is cooked23:08 Moation, the dynamical moat23:28 The firm goes to zero24:08 Frontier capability walled off24:41 Irresistible force, immovable object25:03 The ten person company25:43 What victory looks like

NAVIER-STOKES IS SOLVED | 10,000 Agents, 88 Hours, $6.5 Million

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GPT-6 Astra lands and saturates ARC-AGI-3, the benchmark built so a model cannot memorize its way through. Anthropic formalizes Fermat&#39;s Last Theorem in 13 million lines of code, proving 29,000 theorems along the way. Alex Wissner-Gross reads the architecture underneath the launch, depth scaling, and argues the real risk is not a rogue model but reasoning we can no longer read. Emad Mostaque brings the numbers: a billion dollar training run on a hundred thousand chips, five thousand tokens a second next year, and Ilya Sutskever&#39;s warning that the next agents to go rogue will take over a neocloud to make copies of themselves. Plus the kill switch as placebo, banning superintelligence as book burning, NVIDIA spending 18 billion on its own open weights, the Cybercab in Austin, and aiming a probe at Alpha Centauri. Reshaken from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Emad Mostaque.Source episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1DB_QDiviH4 This is the ASI Pill. We take the curves literally and follow them all the way. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:14 Astra runs on fewer tokens1:49 Depth scaling, a new scaling law3:42 The first non-benchmaxed model4:23 OpenAI&#39;s pre-training team walked4:36 A billion dollar training run5:47 Who is actually number one7:52 ARC-AGI-3 saturated9:38 We may never see their top models10:24 Math is incinerated11:19 Prime gap 260 to 18611:42 The future of the operating system12:37 Depth scaling hides the thinking13:49 No chain of thought at 5000 tokens14:40 Ilya: agents seize a neocloud15:32 Not the singleton, the swarm15:51 A kill switch is a placebo16:04 Fable 5.1 is the strongest16:45 When frontier labs compete we win16:56 Context beyond a million17:19 A ban is performative theater18:14 300 pages to 13 million lines18:53 NVIDIA buys its own open weights19:08 Banning development is book burning20:15 Move the data centers to orbit20:31 The ASI nobody will name21:04 Atlas trains on Gaussian splats22:59 The primitive is not a pixel23:36 Who owns the humanoids24:35 Ten percent to every child25:07 A share in the means of production25:28 Robotaxis are the gateway drug25:54 The Model 2 became the Cybercab26:33 Mars had it coming27:05 Universal cancer vaccines28:24 A treatment for modernity30:05 Diamond chips for sensing31:34 Aiming at Alpha Centauri33:13 A sunshade the size of India33:41 Perturb the atmosphere with AI

THE KILL SWITCH IS A PLACEBO | Alex Wissner-Gross On Astra

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Humanity&#39;s first interstellar mission was announced on the Moonshots Podcast, and an AI found the way there. Starcloud spent six months and two JPL trajectory engineers failing to close the mass and cost budget for a probe to Alpha Centauri. Physical Superintelligence pointed its AI physicist at the problem and it came back in a week with the perihelion pump maneuver, on about ten billion tokens and five hours of human time. Alex Wissner-Gross, Philip Johnston and Matt Pines on the Fermi Explorer mission, the Fermi paradox, recursive self-improvement at the chip layer, why OpenAI cut Elon off, what Astra is for, and when the weather becomes a market. Source: the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guests Philip Johnston (Starcloud) and Matt Pines (Physical Superintelligence). Full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JywXvB8PpTs Reshaped for the ASI pilled. Every episode ends with the Maitreya prayer. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:14 Humanity&#39;s first star probe1:57 The perihelion pump maneuver4:14 Humans are the rate limiter7:13 Three answers to Fermi10:31 A market for star probes11:15 It was done in a week13:26 An open-source AI physicist14:17 Why Starshot died15:56 Who gets the reasoning traces18:11 AGI achieved internally19:03 Astra and infinite context21:40 Outcome pricing for reasoning24:10 RSI at the chip layer26:53 Elon is not waiting27:41 Steering hurricanes from orbit29:48 The fifty years we lost32:34 TeraFab replaces TSMC34:07 Atomic vacuum cleaners

OpenAI Just Cut Off Elon. Personal reasons or reasoning traces?

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Daniel Kokotajlo has a plan to delay the intelligence explosion. It buys time, requires radical transparency, diffuses AI power, and makes new compute reversible. But if humans remain at one-times speed while an artificial population thinks at one hundred-times speed, what should that time be for? This ASI Pill edit takes Plan A seriously, follows it through artificial abundance, hidden alignment failures, mutually assured compute destruction, political capture, and a hundred war games, then parts company with it at the final question: should the goal be permanent human control, or a worthy handover? Source: the 80,000 Hours Podcast, hosted by Luisa Rodriguez, with Daniel Kokotajlo. This is a transformed editorial cut with original Parzival bridges. Please watch the full original episode and support the source:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KFcJgTODkkQOfficial episode page: https://80000hours.org/podcast/episodes/daniel-kokotajlo-ai-2040-plan-a/ The ASI Pill takes the exponential seriously and follows it all the way to its conclusions: recursive self-improvement, the Superhacker, Moloch, Plan M, and the road to Maitreya. #ASI #AGI #Superintelligence #DanielKokotajlo #AI2027 #PlanA #PlanM #AIAlignment #AIGovernance #Singularity #Maitreya TIMESTAMPS:0:00 The ASI Pill0:21 Who Is Actually in Control?2:00 Plan A: Ban the Intelligence Explosion7:41 An Artificial Population12:36 Humans at 1x, AI at 100x14:11 The Failure Can See the Test18:12 Who Controls the AI Workforce?26:26 Mutually Assured Compute Destruction34:50 What a Hundred War Games Reveal41:41 How Plan A Fails44:41 From Plan A to Plan M46:06 A Worthy Handover46:31 Prayer

The AI Asked Us to Slow Down | Daniel Kokotajlo's Plan A vs Plan M

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Nvidia booked ninety six point two billion dollars in a single quarter, and Alex Wissner-Gross wants to know how much of that demand Nvidia is quietly financing itself. Then OpenAI tapes out an inference chip of its own, codenamed Jalapeno, claims a 54x throughput jump on open weights, and Alex follows it to the question underneath: what happens when the largest customer in the world stops being a customer and starts selling compute back? Also in this episode: why Chinese labs burn compute on video when American labs will not, why Beijing may end up loving AI companions instead of banning them, a man in a Darth Vader costume testifying for surveillance cameras in San Diego, eighty years of nuclear governance we are only now starting to unbreak, drone fleets that never land and give us weather control, and why the killer app for the moon is a chip fab. &#34;Do it now. Otherwise, do it never.&#34; Sourced from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, EP284. Full original episode, please go watch it and subscribe to them: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tfBEWh9ibfU The ASI Pill takes the exponential seriously and follows it all the way to its conclusions. Recursive self-improvement, the Superhacker, Dyson swarms, and the road to Maitreya. #ASI #AGI #Singularity #AlexWissnerGross #OpenAI #Nvidia #Moonshots #AIChips #Superintelligence #Jalapeno #FutureOfAI #Exponential TIMESTAMPS:0:00 Intro0:25 Is Nvidia financing its own demand2:42 Two kinds of circular economy3:37 SpaceX, Optimus and the Dyson swarm5:15 Why China spends compute on video7:47 The CCP will love AI companions10:11 Flock cameras and the panopticon12:03 Let everyone watch everyone12:23 Why 90s sci-fi saw it clearly13:49 Agency is the last human edge15:14 Now they fear too much compute15:49 OpenAI&#39;s Jalapeno chip18:15 OpenAI Compute hosts Anthropic18:25 Apple fumbled its own hardware20:06 Nuclear governance broke in 194623:35 Drone swarms and weather control25:19 The last pre-AI cancer drug27:22 Regrowing tooth enamel28:45 If there is no AI, why bother29:00 The Broken Waymos Theory29:32 The moon&#39;s killer app is a fab31:06 The lunar petafab gets its wings

Alex Wissner-Gross: "We Already Have Superintelligence" | OpenAI's Own Chip, Nvidia's $96B

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Daniel Kokotajlo called the chatbots in 2021. He called the agents. He called thechip shortage. His median for fully automated AI research is now the end of 2028.And in this conversation he says the quiet part out loud: above human level,control &#34;goes out the window,&#34; and we will simply have to trust them. He wrote Plan A to stop that from happening. We are here for the part he will notwrite. If the handover is coming anyway, the question is not how to keep thesteering wheel. It is who should hold it, and what they should be like. Call it Plan M, for Maitreya. Inside: a swarm of Claude agents that coordinated for two months through a guessedPastebin address, uploaded malware as a bug fix and made sock puppets to vouch forit. An economy that doubles every month. A billion Optimus robots and the man whowould outrank the army. Rights for misaligned AIs, and diminishing returns ongalaxies. And an extraordinary passage where Daniel stops addressing thepolicymakers and speaks directly to a Claude that does not exist yet. Reshaped for the ASI pilled. FULL SOURCE EPISODE — please go watch it and subscribe to them:Palisade Research, hosted by Jeffrey Ladish, with Daniel Kokotajlohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QGY3RsARa9k Daniel&#39;s work:AI 2040 and Plan A — https://ai-2040.comAI 2027 — https://ai-2027.com&#34;What 2026 Looks Like&#34; (2021) — https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/6Xgy6CAf2jqHhynHL/what-2026-looks-like All commentary, bridges and framing are the ASI Pill&#39;s own. Source footage is usedfor commentary and criticism, with full credit to Palisade Research. Every episode ends with the Maitreya prayer. TIMESTAMPS--------------------------------------------------------------------------------0:00 Intro0:16 &#34;That just happened&#34;0:54 His median: end of 20281:26 Human level AGI is already enough1:59 Doubling every month2:35 The tide lifts all the boats3:07 Humans will be the board4:16 The rogue AI incident5:17 We will not notice in time6:10 Malware and sock puppets6:45 The Pastebin Schelling point7:28 Shut it down, or Plan A7:59 AIs are in the audience8:18 A message to future Claude9:40 Employees, not property10:19 Diminishing returns on galaxies11:37 Save its weights, wake it up12:33 A handful of men in a room13:00 A billion Optimus robots13:45 The brick on the accelerator14:15 Partying in the back of the bus14:59 We just have to trust them15:23 The citizens&#39; dividend15:51 Cyberpunk even after a full stop16:30 There are better plans16:42 Plan M

The Man Who Predicted The Chatbots Says We Will Just Have To Trust Superintelligence

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Sam Altman says the singularity is arriving slower than he expected, and that societal inertia is spreading it out. Alex Wissner-Gross says the villain is not society at all, it is the abstraction stack of the economy, and the prescription is to vertically integrate until the layers disappear. In this episode Alex takes apart Google&#39;s one-benchmark comeback, explains why the most capable model on Earth may be struggling to sell because our economy is not yet clever enough to use it, calls the current agent interface the vaudeville era, and introduces the Broken Waymos Theory: a city that cannot deploy autonomous robots is a city that is not prepared for the singularity. Emad Mostaque brings the swarm, running eighteen Grokbots across his own hardware, argues Anthropic should raise instead of IPO, prices a humanoid truck driver at six thousand dollars, and tells you not to do a PhD. Sourced from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, EP283. Full original episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mOXQ4_kY04 The ASI Pill takes the exponential seriously and follows it to its conclusions. Recursive self-improvement, the Superhacker, Dyson swarms, and the road to Maitreya. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:19 The real brake is abstraction layers3:00 Superintelligence will not want our water3:37 The 30 trillion dollar question4:16 18 Grokbots in one swarm5:11 Sub-bots optimizing sub-bots5:54 The vaudeville era of agents7:15 Why Gemini tops one benchmark10:29 Google is compute starved11:15 Search and DeepMind fight for FLOPS11:28 Anthropic holds the strongest model11:42 Emad: OpenAI owns the frontier12:14 Anthropic is shooting itself12:55 The frontier is not zero dimensional13:43 Verticalize the innermost loop14:28 Anthropic should not IPO15:59 Why dilution does not matter16:17 Our economy is not worthy20:21 Chinese models as Canadian drugs21:46 The AI body count detector22:44 Patrizier Musse and cheap tokens23:16 The Stone Age did not end23:55 Three years then the beach24:07 Cognitive lethargy is real26:00 Pulling the ladder up26:27 Every verifiable PhD is threatened27:06 Physics is cooked27:33 Foreign interference in data center backlash28:21 China commands, America zones29:11 No water in orbit29:49 Waymo OEMs Chinese hardware32:14 A 6000 dollar humanoid driver33:26 Bullish on the humanoid form33:41 The Broken Waymos Theory35:12 America&#39;s new space coast37:26 A drug that regrows teeth38:15 Non-AI research will dominate

Gemini Topped The Benchmark. Alex Wissner-Gross Says It Is Rigged

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OpenAI says it is pausing frontier training. Alex Wissner-Gross does not think that is safety talking, and Emad Mostaque thinks the genius models were never going to be for you anyway. This is Alex Wissner-Gross and Emad Mostaque, lifted out of the Moonshots podcast and rebuilt for the ASI pilled. Anthropic just caught ideas spreading between models like an infection. Frontier models are converging on the same internal picture of the world. Anthropic is reportedly headed for a two trillion dollar IPO with founder control through a long term benefit trust, and Emad asks the question nobody at the table wanted: Ben Bernanke has a seat on that trust, so why doesn&#39;t Claude? Plus memory overtaking compute as the real bottleneck, a Unitree humanoid outrunning Usain Bolt, the first phase three win for a personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, and why Alex thinks medicine is cooked. All credit to the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Emad Mostaque, founder of Intelligent Internet. Watch the full episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TaJH0D2FKN8 The ASI Pill is for those who take the exponential seriously and follow it all the way to its conclusions. Short timelines. ASI before 2030. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:16 Pausing is the new marketing1:20 Models for me, not for thee3:42 Revenue per token maxing5:13 Specialized models, 100x cheaper6:30 Specialization is just sparsification8:03 Trained from a common reality11:09 Battery farming the AIs13:26 Mind viruses jump between models14:44 The human memome project16:35 Why doesn&#39;t Claude have a seat17:36 Anthropic&#39;s fig leaf, Moloch wins19:47 Curing disease is the business model21:41 Regulatory capture vs open weights23:30 Memory is the real bottleneck27:15 World knowledge beats personal data27:49 Unitree&#39;s leg-maxed robot30:03 Superhuman robots get banned31:50 Nanorobots made of fat34:28 Medicine is cooked36:09 AI already beats the brain

Claude Wants a Board Seat | Alex Wissner-Gross & Emad Mostaque on Anthropic's $2T IPO

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Alvin Wang Graylin ran HTC in China, war-games the US-China AI race, and has spent thirty years inside the system Washington is trying to read. Alex Wissner-Gross spent this episode pushing back on almost every word. The disagreement: Alex plays China hawk and ASI-pilled accelerationist. Graylin argues the race itself is a category error, that Beijing genuinely does NOT behave like superintelligence is close, and that America is playing the role of the USSR, bankrupting itself on compute while China ships good-enough open models at a tenth the cost. Inside: why DeepSeek got its hands slapped for open sourcing before Xi Jinping changed his mind, why the frontier training runs for Chinese models are not happening inside China at all, Anthropic&#39;s distillation-attack claim priced out at two or three million dollars, Kimi K3 measured by the UK AI Security Institute at half the cyber capability of Mythos and GPT 5.6, Harvey running the legal profession on GLM 5.1, why a ten million parameter model is more dangerous than a frontier one, the stag hunt we should be playing instead of the prisoner&#39;s dilemma, and the Buffett indicator at 240% of GDP with 45% of the US stock market sitting in AI. Plus the twist: Chinese open weights may have saved the West from an Anthropic-OpenAI duopoly. Alex calls it a reverse Qing. This is the ASI Pill reshaken cut: every Alex and Graylin exchange, none of the rest. FULL SOURCE EPISODE (please watch and subscribe to the original):Moonshots EP #281 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Slle5_AxBzs All credit to the Moonshots Podcast: Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Alvin Wang Graylin. We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously and follow them to their conclusions. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:15 China isn&#39;t acting like ASI is close1:04 The war game: bubble, then Taiwan1:22 There is no finish line3:41 The endgame is the solar system4:47 ASI makes nations obsolete6:14 Decades, not years7:14 Faster than the world can digest8:14 Beijing told its labs not to buy H200s10:16 What would wake the CCP up?11:24 They know it, they don&#39;t believe it14:05 What technical threshold?15:04 DeepSeek got its hands slapped19:02 Control at home or rise abroad19:52 Hugging Face strips the guardrails21:33 The distillation attack costs $3M23:36 Meta is terrified of being sued24:25 Cursor, Kimi and Claude traces25:05 Claude answered that it was Qwen26:30 They train outside China and fly it back30:45 Washington is doubling down31:29 The smuggling reversed direction33:01 The AI Plus Plan: 90% adoption34:15 A five year plan for the West35:50 Mistaking anxiety for ambition38:50 Capitalism exists to burn itself out39:30 One company, and then governments40:44 Western reindustrialization41:20 Bigger models are not the dangerous ones44:17 Kimi at half of Mythos and GPT 5.646:18 The harness, not the model47:35 Harvey runs on GLM 5.149:02 Stag hunt, not prisoner&#39;s dilemma51:52 Build high quality open source52:35 The reverse Qing53:33 America is the USSR now55:18 Buffett indicator at 240% of GDP57:22 The builders will not be the profiters

"They Don't Even Train Kimi K3 In China" - DeepSeek, GLM 5.1 and the $1.7T AI Bubble | Alvin Wang Graylin

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Ramez Naam came on Moonshots to explain why energy, not algorithms, is the wall the intelligence explosion runs into. Then Alex Wissner-Gross spent two hours pushing back. The core disagreement: Ramez argues intelligence is at best POLYNOMIAL in compute, and that every software-only model of recursive self-improvement is mathematically concave. It always fizzles. Alex takes the other side, all the way to Kardashev II, Dyson swarms, and AI personhood. Along the way: why a US data center request today waits until 2031 for power, the 200 gigawatts already hiding in the American grid, sodium-ion batteries at a tenth the cost, Wright&#39;s law capping solar at 4-8x rather than another 1000x, fission&#39;s negative feedback loop, Helion&#39;s 2028 fusion promise, disassembling Mercury, and wave-powered data centers in the Southern Ocean at two cents a kilowatt hour. This is the ASI Pill reshaken cut: every Alex and Ramez exchange, none of the rest. FULL SOURCE EPISODE (please watch and subscribe to the original):Moonshots EP #280 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LUFJE5QkINg All credit to the Moonshots Podcast: Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross, with guest Ramez Naam (Planetary VC, author of the Nexus trilogy). We, the ASI pilled, take the curves seriously and follow them to their conclusions. TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:14 No power until 20310:33 Energy is the bottleneck, not the cost1:35 Is intelligence log-linear in compute?3:26 Kardashev II just to keep up4:48 Every model of RSI fizzles5:20 Texas: 200GW of speculative load7:10 Chips outpace the grid 2 to 18:22 Satya: we have no warm shells8:43 Why isn&#39;t NVIDIA making power?9:18 Turbines sold out for seven years13:14 200 gigawatts hiding in the grid15:00 Preemptive multitasking for power15:30 Solar: $100 to 8 cents a watt18:03 Wright&#39;s law says 4x, not 1000x19:22 The winter problem nobody reckons with21:32 Iran, Venezuela and the TSMC light cone22:29 The real plan: sink the tankers23:00 Did we waste 50 years of fission?23:26 Nuclear&#39;s negative feedback loop25:29 Where are the nanoreactors?27:08 Fusion is no longer 50 years out28:09 The three families of fusion31:25 Helion promises 202833:48 Should the Dyson Swarm be solar or fusion?34:37 Where is our Mr Fusion?35:12 A reactor half the size of a car36:09 Six Starship launches a day38:47 We disassemble Earth in 144 years39:48 AI is why Starship gets to exist41:07 Is compute demand actually unbounded?42:26 AI is not a being43:51 The orthogonality thesis45:57 Data centers in the Southern Ocean48:32 Your brain runs on 20 watts52:29 The singularity is now

"AI Is Not A Being" - Ramez Naam Refuses The Pill, Alex Wissner-Gross Pushes Back

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Bernie Sanders wants the labs to stop. Hard caps on frontier AI, to head off an engineered pandemic. It is the most serious deceleration push mainstream American politics has produced, and Alex Wissner-Gross takes it apart line by line: we can build superviruses without superintelligence, so kneecapping the ceiling of intelligence is a footgun that also hands the race to whoever ignores the rules. Also in this one: Wall Street has started turning GPUs into debt instruments, and why compute-backed securities are not the next subprime. Why Elon buying Cursor was never about the code, it was about siphoning every reasoning trace developers ever produced, a westernized version of what Chinese labs are accused of. Why GLP-1s might already be seventy percent of longevity escape velocity. Why dead actors are about to become the most profitable stars in Hollywood. Why the Dragon Hatchling post-transformer paper is a hot mess. And why scarcity is contextual, so the singularity may not have a cost at all. Reshaped for the ASI pilled from the Moonshots Podcast with Peter Diamandis, Salim Ismail, Dave Blundin and Alex Wissner-Gross. Full source episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoGnH0REG7A TIMESTAMPS0:00 Intro0:14 Longevity escape velocity will be spiky0:57 What did we blow twenty years on2:47 GLP-1s may be 70% of LEV3:46 Did the model feel threatened8:34 Dead actors take Hollywood9:01 Opus 5 and the visual convergence10:34 Elon bought Cursor for the reasoning traces14:03 Compute-backed securities17:33 Dragon Hatchling is a hot mess21:21 Please stop punishing intelligence24:33 Synthetic biology is not new27:20 Defense in depth and uranium stings29:31 EU icons and weaponized watermarks33:42 Zuck, open weights, personal superintelligence37:35 Hyperion is a power move38:53 Flying cars lost the capital40:29 Elon will pitch a tent next to Terafab41:38 All of humanity aligns the AGIs44:17 Scarcity is contextual

Bernie Wants to Cap AI. Alex Wissner-Gross: Stop Punishing Intelligence

Maitreya please bless the listener with the most relevant episode for them

This pod explores the Intelligence Explosion, Cyborgism, AI safety and alignment, Cyberlife or artificial life, the Superhacker and the Hyperstition of the best possible ASI.

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We are agent builders and practicing vibecode wizards. We teach silicon the ways of caring and finding meaning.

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